Splitting the Vote in Livingstone Macleod 031723
Splitting the Vote in Livingstone Macleod - A Bogeyman Morgan Wilson Looking at the way things have trended in the last 3 elections, it's pretty clear the pendulum has swung to its limits for all of the parties. Of note is the big jump in support for the Alberta Party provincially from 2015 to 2019. In Livingstone Macleod, the AP has more support than the Liberals, Green and Independence put together. 338 Canada polling is projecting a UCP win in Livingstone Macleod. 60% UCP (+/-8%) and 30% NDP (+/- 7%). The projected change in votes since the 2019 election is showing UCP slipping from 70.4% to 60%. The NDP is gaining from 20.8% to 30%. It's safe to say that the NDP is gaining votes from the UCP faithful who can't stomach what has become of the UCP as they have for the last three elections. The Alberta Party is projected to capture 3 to 5% of the vote, pretty much unchanged from 2019. So, if there are UCP votes flowing out of the