Morgan's Ramblings

              We stretched our bubble a bit the other night and went to a friend’s for supper. We’ve been trying to keep in touch with him since the recent death of his partner. He’s kind of an introverted fellow and we make some effort to keep him from cocooning and to give him a distraction from his thoughts as he stumbles through his grieving. Also there were some dear friends of his there and we settled in to a low key lasagna fueled evening.             The conversation was fairly light, but it soon became obvious that the other couple was itching to bring up the political scene. I thought it inappropriate given the general atmosphere and intent of the evening was to provide a non-threatening supportive environment for a grieving friend. So, I did my best not to engage.             I knew our friend was of Cons...

  Splitting the Vote in Livingstone Macleod - A Bogeyman Morgan Wilson             Looking at the way things have trended in the last 3 elections, it's pretty clear the pendulum has swung to its limits for all of the parties. Of note is the big jump in support for the Alberta Party provincially from 2015 to 2019. In Livingstone Macleod, the AP has more support than the Liberals, Green and Independence put together.             338 Canada polling is projecting a UCP win in Livingstone Macleod. 60% UCP (+/-8%) and 30% NDP (+/- 7%). The projected change in votes since the 2019 election is showing UCP slipping from 70.4% to 60%. The NDP is gaining from 20.8% to 30%. It's safe to say that the NDP is gaining votes from the UCP faithful who can't stomach what has become of the UCP as they have for the last three elections. The Alberta Party is projected to capture 3 to 5% of t...